Pakistan take on England in the 4th match of the Pakistan ODI Tri-Series 2026 at Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore, on Sunday, October 25, 2026. It is a day-night game starting at 1:00 PM PKT (toss at 12:30 PM PKT), and the stakes could hardly be clearer: a Pakistan win books their place in the final at this same ground on October 31, while England, beaten in both their games so far, must win to keep their final hopes alive.
Short answer to who will win: Pakistan, and I do not think it will be as close as the bookmakers might suggest. They have won both games in this series, their bowling has held its nerve twice, and they are playing at a ground where their record against England is strong. England's batting, though, has already produced 429 in this series — write them off and Harry Brook will make you regret it. Below is the full case: form, head-to-head, key battles, pitch report and both probable playing 11s.
Shaheen Shah Afridi leads Pakistan into a match that can seal their place in the tri-series final (file photo, Wikimedia Commons).
Pakistan vs England 4th ODI: Form Guide
Pakistan (last 5 ODIs: W, W, L, W, L) — the two wins at the front of that sequence are both from this series. They beat Sri Lanka by 37 runs in the opener on October 18, then beat this same England side by 87 runs on October 20. They have also won three of their last four ODI series, and the middle order that rescued them twice in Rawalpindi — Salman Ali Agha, Hasan Nawaz and Arafat Minhas — is the form unit of the tournament.
England (last 5 ODIs: L, L, W, L, W) — both defeats at the front are from this series, and the second one will sting far more than the first. Losing to Pakistan by 87 runs after having them 81 for 4 was bad; scoring 429 against Sri Lanka on October 22 and still losing, after Harry Brook's record 202, was worse. Their bowling has now conceded 731 runs in two tri-series games. That is the number that decides this preview.
Pakistan ODI Tri-Series 2026: Results So Far
- Oct 18, Rawalpindi: Pakistan 305/10 (49.5 ov) beat Sri Lanka 268/10 (48.1 ov) by 37 runs. Salman Ali Agha 107; Eshan Malinga 4/46.
- Oct 20, Rawalpindi: Pakistan 302/9 (50 ov) beat England 215/10 (38.4 ov) by 87 runs. Hasan Nawaz 79, Arafat Minhas 59 and 6/40; Tom Banton 57.
- Oct 22, Rawalpindi: England 429/4 (50 ov) lost to Sri Lanka 430/8 (49.5 ov) by 2 wickets. Harry Brook 202; Pavan Rathnayake 130, Dasun Shanaka 97, Avishka Fernando 97 — the second-highest successful chase in ODI history.
Points table: Pakistan 2 matches, 2 wins, 4 points (NRR +1.240) · Sri Lanka 2 matches, 1 win, 2 points · England 2 matches, 0 wins, 0 points (NRR −0.892). You can revisit the first meeting in my Pakistan vs England 2nd ODI preview, the 87-run win report and Sri Lanka's record 430 chase against England.
Team Comparison: Pakistan vs England ODI Head-to-Head
The head-to-head record still favours England, but the gap is closing fast. The two sides have now met in 93 ODIs: England have won 57, Pakistan 33, with three no-results. At home, Pakistan's record against England is close — 11 wins against 9 defeats. The most famous meetings remain the 1992 World Cup final, which Pakistan won by 22 runs, and the 2019 World Cup group game at Trent Bridge, which Pakistan won by 14 runs. The freshest data point, though, is five days old: Pakistan's 87-run win in Rawalpindi, built on the same bowling attack that plays today.
Why does that matter more than the all-time record? Because this England batting line-up has never beaten this Pakistan attack in these conditions, and because the team that has handled pressure better has won all three games in this series. Pakistan have twice defended totals after wobbling; England have twice lost from positions of strength.
Harry Brook, fresh from his record 202 against Sri Lanka, is the one England batter Pakistan fear most (file photo, Wikimedia Commons, public domain).
Tri-Series Top Performers So Far
- Harry Brook (England) — 202 against Sri Lanka, the fastest ODI double century by an England batter and the highest score of the series.
- Salman Ali Agha (Pakistan) — 107 against Sri Lanka, his fourth ODI hundred, setting up the 37-run win in the opener.
- Pavan Rathnayake (Sri Lanka) — 130 in the record 430 chase against England, the player of that match.
- Arafat Minhas (Pakistan) — 59 with the bat and 6 for 40 with the ball against England, the defining all-round performance of the series so far.
- Hasan Nawaz (Pakistan) — 79 off 74 against England, rebuilding the innings from 81 for 4.
- Eshan Malinga (Sri Lanka) — 4 for 46 against Pakistan in the opener; Sonny Baker's 3 for 65 against Pakistan is England's best bowling return of the series.
Key Battles That Will Decide This Game
- Shaheen Afridi and Naseem Shah vs Duckett and Banton. England's openers got starts in Rawalpindi — 45 and 57 — but neither converted. If Pakistan's new-ball pair strike in the first ten overs again, England's middle order walks in under scoreboard pressure for the third game running.
- Arafat Minhas vs Brook and Root. Minhas took 6 for 40 against this batting line-up five days ago, and his changes of flight and pace are the hardest puzzle in this series. Brook and Root are the two batters most likely to solve it — and if they do, England's 429 against Sri Lanka shows what follows.
- Pakistan's middle order vs England's death bowling. England have leaked runs at the death in both games, and Agha, Hasan Nawaz and Faheem Ashraf have punished exactly that phase. The team that wins overs 35 to 50 wins this game.
- Adil Rashid and Liam Dawson vs the Lahore surface. If the pitch grips under lights, England's spinners are their route back into the contest. If it stays flat, Pakistan's batters will fancy another 300-plus total.
Babar Azam, still searching for his big hundred in this series, has two starts to build on (file photo, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 3.0).
Pitch Report and Conditions: Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore
Gaddafi Stadium is a flat, batting-friendly ground with consistent bounce, and the numbers back that up: across roughly 90 ODIs here, sides batting first have won 46 times and chasing sides 42, with an average first-innings score around 251. The tri-series now moves to Lahore after three high-scoring games in Rawalpindi, and nothing about this surface suggests the run flow will slow down.
This is a day-night game, so the second innings will be played under lights, and dew is a genuine factor late in the evening. Both captains in Rawalpindi chose to bowl first anticipating dew — yet the side batting first won the first two games, before Sri Lanka chased 430 in the third. My reading: the toss winner should still think seriously about batting first, because 300-plus on the board and scoreboard pressure have been worth more than dew in this series. Expect a par score around 300 to 320; anything below 290 will feel short.
Probable Playing 11 (Predicted)
Pakistan probable XI: Fakhar Zaman, Saim Ayub, Babar Azam, Saad Baig (wk), Salman Ali Agha, Hasan Nawaz, Arafat Minhas, Faheem Ashraf, Shaheen Shah Afridi (c), Naseem Shah, Haris Rauf. Pakistan have no reason to change a winning combination, and the same eleven that beat England in Rawalpindi should take the field in Lahore.
England probable XI: Ben Duckett, Tom Banton, Joe Root, Harry Brook (c), Jordan Cox (wk), Sam Curran, Will Jacks, Jamie Overton, Liam Dawson, Gus Atkinson, Josh Tongue. Jordan Cox keeps the gloves with Jos Buttler still out through injury, and England may yet recall Adil Rashid if they want an extra spin option on a gripping Lahore surface. The toss will confirm the final combination.
Fakhar Zaman, Pakistan's attacking opener, gives the middle order its platform (file photo, Wikimedia Commons).
My Prediction
I am backing Pakistan to win and seal their place in the October 31 final. The reasoning is straightforward: they are 2-0, they have already beaten this England side with this attack, their middle order is in form, and England's bowling has conceded 731 runs in two games. Lahore's flat pitch suits Pakistan's batting just as much as England's, but Pakistan's bowling — Shaheen and Naseem with the new ball, Minhas through the middle, Rauf at the death — is the more complete unit in these conditions.
England's route to victory is real, and it runs through one man: if Harry Brook bats the way he did against Sri Lanka, and Root anchors around him, England can post 330-plus and test a chase Pakistan have not yet faced in this series. But one batter, however brilliant, has not been enough for England twice already. My call: Pakistan by 25 to 35 runs if they bat first, or by 5 wickets if they chase.
FAQs
When and where is the Pakistan vs England 4th ODI?
Sunday, October 25, 2026, at Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore. The toss is at 12:30 PM PKT and the first ball is at 1:00 PM PKT (1:30 PM IST).
What is the head-to-head record between Pakistan and England in ODIs?
93 matches: England 57 wins, Pakistan 33 wins, 3 no-results. Pakistan won the last meeting, by 87 runs in Rawalpindi on October 20.
Who will win the Pakistan vs England 4th ODI today?
My prediction is Pakistan — home conditions, a 2-0 series record, and England's bowling conceding 731 runs in two games give them the edge, though Harry Brook's form makes England dangerous.
What are the probable playing 11s for PAK vs ENG 4th ODI?
Pakistan are likely unchanged from Rawalpindi: Fakhar, Saim, Babar, Saad Baig, Agha, Hasan Nawaz, Minhas, Faheem, Shaheen (c), Naseem, Rauf. England's likely XI: Duckett, Banton, Root, Brook (c), Cox (wk), Curran, Jacks, Overton, Dawson, Atkinson, Tongue.
Where can I watch Pakistan vs England 4th ODI live?
In Pakistan on PTV Sports and streaming via tapmad; in India on Sony Sports Network and SonyLIV; in the UK on Sky Sports.
Sources
- Cricbuzz cricket schedule — Pakistan ODI Tri-Series 2026 fixtures
- ESPNcricinfo / Cricinfo — Pakistan vs England ODI head-to-head record
- CricketWorld — Pakistan vs England 2nd ODI scorecard, October 20, 2026
- Sky Sports — Pakistan ODI Tri-Series 2026 schedule and results
- NewsBytes / CricStatsInt — Pakistan vs England 4th ODI preview, October 24, 2026
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